A weather specialist is urging the public to steer a middle path between alarmism and complacency as a new weather disturbance forms in the Western Pacific, with a potential path toward the Philippines in early November.

The clarification comes from Florida-based Robert Speta, an expert weather analyst, who addressed a flurry of online posts circulating about a supposed impending “super typhoon.”

In a detailed post, Speta confirmed that while the viral, exaggerated claims are false, a genuine weather system does warrant careful monitoring.

“The hype of a super typhoon is wrong, but a storm is still possible,” Speta stated, cutting through the confusion.

The focal point for forecasters is a system designated Invest 98W, currently located southeast of Guam and expected to move into the Philippine Sea, Speta said.

According to Speta, all major global weather models, including the ECMWF, GFS, and Google DeepMind’s GraphCast, show at least some development of this system over the coming days.

The most likely window for the system to organize into a low-pressure area or a tropical storm is between November 3 and 5, 2025, he added.

Speta concluded his update with a call for prudent vigilance: “Stay smart, stay informed, and as always – stay safe out there.”